## The Lesson

An event is dependent if its probability is affected by whether or not another event has occured. A tree diagram can show dependent events.

## A Real Example of a Dependent Event on a Tree Diagram

It is easier to understand a dependent event with an example.

## Picking Marbles

A bag contains 3 yellow marbles and 2 blue marbles. Two marbles will be picked from the bag. One marble will be taken out (without being replaced) and then another.

## 1st Pick

In the 1st pick, a Yellow marble can be chosen or a Blue The two picks can be drawn on a tree diagram:
• There are 3 yellow marbles out of 5. The probability of getting a Yellow marble is 35.
• There are 2 blue marbles out of 5. The probability of getting a Blue marble is 25.

## 2nd Pick

The 2nd pick depends on the 1st pick. 1st Pick Is Yellow Imagine a Yellow marble was picked. There are now different numbers of yellow and blue marbles than there were in the first pick.

• There are 2 yellow marbles out of 4. The probability of getting a Yellow marble is 24.
• There are 2 blue marbles out of 4. The probability of getting a Blue marble is 24.
1st Pick Is Blue Imagine a Blue marble was picked. There are now different numbers of yellow and blue marbles than there were in the first pick.

• There are 3 yellow marbles out of 4. The probability of getting a Yellow marble is 34.
• There is 1 blue marble out of 4. The probability of getting a Blue marble is 14.
We have completed the tree diagram.

## Lesson Slides

The slider below another real example of dependent events on a tree diagram.

## What Is Probability?

A probability is a measure of how likely (how probable) an event is to happen. A probability is expressed as a number between 0 (impossible) and 1 (certain). The formula for finding a probability is shown below: